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Module 11 · Project 6 · Due the date on Canvas · Time-Series Visualization · adaptive competency DV19

A quick mathematics refresh: level, difference, and rate

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Begin with the five-minute change-over-time refresh.

Module 11 · Step 1 of 9 · Watch5–8 min

A level tells where the series is. A first difference tells how much it changed. Percent change puts that change relative to the previous level. Scrub through the series and locate its largest increase.

First difference\(\Delta y_t=y_t-y_{t-1}\)
Percent change\(100\Delta y_t/y_{t-1}\)
Centered moving mean\(m_t=(y_{t-1}+y_t+y_{t+1})/3\)

Indexed values. To compare two series that start at different levels, or in different units, rebase each to 100 at the same base period: \( I_t = 100 \cdot y_t / y_b \), where \( y_b \) is the value in the base period. A campus that grows from 400 to 440 and one that grows from 50 to 55 both read 110, because each is 10% above its baseline. An indexed chart, with every series at 100 in the base period, therefore compares relative (percent) change from that baseline; it no longer shows the original sizes, and a different base period can change the picture.

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