Module 11 · Project 6 · Due the date on Canvas · Time-Series Visualization · adaptive competency DV19
Follow the signal. Protect the truth.
Reveal change over time without smoothing away the event, inventing a trend, or comparing series on a dishonest scale.
9module steps
4interactive investigations
1time-series defense
60+minutes
Mission progress0%
Begin with the five-minute change-over-time refresh.
By the end of this module, you will be able to
- Decompose a series into trend, seasonality, and remainder, and say what each part means.
- Choose a smoothing window knowing what it reveals and what it erases.
- Diagnose dishonest time-series charts: truncated axes, invented trends, and misleading comparisons.
- Verify a time-series claim in browser R and defend the reading.
- Audit AI time-series output for invented patterns.
- Apply all of this to Project 6: your DV19 Time-Series Evidence Studio, due the date on Canvas.
Your evidence map
0 XPDV19
Student learning outcomes
By the end of Module 11, students can…
- Compute and interpret levels, first differences, percent changes, and indexed series — and choose the one that answers the stated question.
- Separate trend, seasonality, and irregular variation in a decomposition.
- Choose and justify a smoothing window, naming its alignment, peak-suppression, and edge costs.
- Distinguish transient shocks from persistent level shifts, and bound temporal claims short of causality.
- Verify every time-series transformation in R while keeping the raw observations accessible.
Module 11 step by step
Each step below is its own short page, so nothing runs on for screens at a time. Work through them in order — your progress is saved as you go, and the numbered bar at the top of every page jumps straight to any step.
- 1RefreshA quick mathematics refresh: level, difference, and rate
- 2DecomposeBuild the signal from trend, seasonality, and noise
- 3SmoothChoose a smoother without erasing the event
- 4DiagnoseSeparate an anomaly from a structural change
- 5AI auditAI-output audit
- 6Verify in RVerify transformations in browser R
- 7DefendDefend a time-series visual argument
- 8SubmitSubmit the Module 11 graded assignment
- 9Prove masteryPass the mastery check and record the module